I just finished reading The Lucifer Effect by Philip Zimbardo. Zimbardo is best known from running the Stanford Prison Experiment in which a number of men were randomly assigned the roles of ‘prisoner’ and ‘guard’ and placed in a mock prison setting in order to see how otherwise healthy, well-adjusted, people would react.
The subtitle of the book is “Understanding How Good People Turn Evil” and Zimbardo uses the Stanford Prison Experiment to demonstrate that situations exert a great deal of influence over the actions of individuals. He then describes research (including the famous Milgram experiment) which further highlights the power of situation and authority to get people to do things they otherwise wouldn’t believe they would do. He then goes on to demonstrate how the events at Abu Ghraib mirror those of the Stanford Prison Experiment.
Now, I know what you’re thinking and Zimbardo goes to great lengths to say that his argument is not an attempt to enshrine ‘excusology’ into our lives and or eliminate the concept of personal responsibility. What he does say is that despite how most of us read about the Holocaust, the genocide in Rwanda or lynchings in the U.S. and say that we’d never do such things the fact is that if placed in those specific situations many of us would pull that gas lever, pick up that machete or pull on that noose. As he often repeats in the book, the problem may not be (and often is not) that there are some bad apples who do evil but that there’s a bad barrel that can make virtually everyone do evil. In short, the potential is in every human being to engage in the most despicable and most heroic actions.
The implications for intelligence analysis (both in the military and law enforcement) are really amazing. Our culture is based upon the idea that situational influence plays virtually no role in individual behavior. Rather, as Zimbardo points out, virtually every aspect of our society (the medical, judicial, psychological, etc.) is based on such the assumption that all causes of behavior are dispositional (inherent personal factors like free will, genetic makeup or personality traits). If we actually consider situational factors as motivators for specific behavior then we might consider a different set of responses to crime, terrorism or other negative behavior.
Lest you think this is all a bunch of namby-pamby, Nancy Pelosi loving, brie-eating nonsense check this out:
Protracted popular war is best countered by winning the “hearts and minds” of the populace and separating the leaders, cadre, and combatants from the mass base through information operations, civil-military operations, economic programs, social programs, and political action. (FM 3-24)
In other words: You win insurgencies through changing the situational factors for the population which (if successful) will make them less inclined to support your enemies.
It took the powers that be more than 3 years to figure out that while you can kill the number 3 man in Al-Qaeda, if you don’t change the environmental factors that created him you’re likely to only have a host of volunteers willing to step into his shoes. It’s the old idea of winning ‘hearts and minds’ given scientific support.
While the DoD may have adopted this message the law enforcement community resists it strongly. Virtually the only strategy offered to combat crime in the United States has been various schemes designed to ‘get tough’ on criminals. Just as in our fight against Al-Qaeda however, you can arrest all the drug dealers, gang members and other criminals you want but if you maintain the same situational factors (social, economic, and cultural) you find that new ones spring up hydra-like.
There’s too much good stuff to continue in this post but I’m hoping to revisit this book in a future post and highlight some of the more revealing passages in it.
The only unfortunate part of the book is the author’s attempt to indict the Bush administration for ‘building the bad barrel’ and establishing the conditions that led to Abu-Ghraib. It needlessly politicizes the book and, I fear, means that a lot of people might pass the book over.